Monday, May 27, 2019

Causes of high unemployment in Zimbabwe Essay

IntroductionThe un concern say is the proportion of the economicalally active population that is unemployed and actively looking for employment. In 1990, Zimbabwe embarked on a programme of stinting Reforms popularly known as Economic Structural Adjustment Programme (ESAP) and 1991-1992 saw one of the worst droughts. With close to 70% of the population living in the rural argonas (CSO 1992) and dependent on horticulture for their livelihood, this constituted a major disaster. One result of these events was increased migration to the urban areas by people in research of employment. A further drought in 1995-1996 compounded the effect.Worsening economic conditions plus ever increasing corruption and crime have been the norm since 1995. Unemployment is shortly soaring and the current rate stands at 70%. This has been from retrenchments, business closures e.t.c. According to EMCOZ survey, about 6000 romps in the different areas of the economy were lost by the end of 2001. The ske letal frame for 2002 was much higher as a result of the worsening business environment as the government fails to create opportunities to stimulate industrial expansion.Causes of UnemploymentUnemployment is Zimbabwe has been caused by kind of a number of factors. Most of these are mainly because of political reasons. The following are some of the factors that are causing unemploymentSluggish coronation funds and growth fatigued export performancePoor macroeconomic policy environmentThe investment/business climate is unfriendlyPopulation growth rate/age coordinateThe growth path reliance on primary products is suboptimalGeography (proximity to South Africa, no direct access to the sea)Tertiary EducationThese are now explained underSluggish investment and growthThe investment and growth of the Zimbabwe Economy has been shrinking of late. This has had a significant impact on the Zimbabwean companies. In the past 3 years, over 500 companies closed operations because of prohibitive operational conditions characterized by high input costs, hard currency shortages, high levels of interest rates, inflationary levels as well as the uncompetitive export market. Both the company and the government has been failing to effectively invest and thereby unwillinging growth. As a result, this has resulted in monolithic unemployment.Weak export performanceUsually governments and exporters worry roughly about the foreign e finisicity of demand for the exports. But in Zimbabwe today the most important is undoubtedly the domestic elasticity of bestow of exports. This is reflected in the export volume numbers. In 2003, tobacco legal injurys are still virtually unchanged from last year and higher than in previous years, but volumes are down by two-thirds. This then agent that if we have very few goods that we are exporting, no we end up having a weak generation of foreign currency which we direly need for all our imports. This has significantly impacted on most organizatio ns who eventually revive to the black market for the foreign currency.Poor macroeconomic policy environmentThe role of monetary policy is crucial because macroeconomic policy affectsthe REAL economy, largely through with(predicate) the credit and capital markets. At the start of the 21st century monetary policy is the most powerful weapon that governments have at their disposal. monetary policy influences interest rates (directly) and exchange rates (indirectly). It also influences investment, and thereby economic growth and employment. It has major implications for the financial markets bonds and equitiesAnd today, its most important role is that of ensuring price stability. All this seem to have been ignored in the Zimbabwean scenario, where the macroeconomic policies are arm twisted just for the sake of political expediency. As a result, many sectors have been affected, and no jobs were created and thus an increase in unemployment.The investment/business climate is unfriendl yThe more profitable and attractive the business investment climate, the more firms will want to raise new money to expand and the more they will issue bonds. During a business boom or upswing the supply of bonds rises. The investment climate in Zimbabwe is not sufficiently favorable to attract the type of Foreign Direct Investment needed to transform exports. There are so many regulations concerning capital repatriation and profit/dividend remittability. This discourages investment and hence at the same time increasing unemployment.Population growth rate and age grammatical constructionThe population in Zimbabwe has been increasing at a decreasing rate, but the fact that the population is increasing without a complimentary increase in job opportunities, this therefore means all the job candidates are jobless.The growth path reliance on primary products is suboptimalZimbabwe has been relying mostly on the products which are just primary. such dependence has had no joy being foun d for the thousands of youths in Zimbabwe who are looking for jobs.Geography (proximity to South Africa, no direct access to the sea)Zimbabwe is a inland country and has been relying mostly on its neighbours namely South Africa and Mozambique. This has placed the country in a state of disadvantage hence the employment creation rate going down.Tertiary EducationA number of tertiary colleges have sprung up in Zimbabwe, and yet the existing infrastructure is unable to absorb the ostentatiousness numbers of youths seeking training opportunities. There is also a high mismatch of skills acquired from training on one hand and the labour market opportunities on the other has led to increased job seekers.Seriousness of the problemThe issue of unemployment in Zimbabwe has reached such alarming levels which have brought discontent among the citizens of the country. This has been evidenced by the massive increases in the crime rates and other issues which include prostitution. This whole lot is as a result of a number of job seekers who are on the market failing to secure anything.Effects of Land Resettlement and HIV-AIDS on unemploymentHIV and AIDS has been much talked about and discussed in Zimbabwe. This deadly incurable disease and virus has brought about much untold suffering and orphans. This also means that the number of job seekers flowing into the market will fall sharply. This might be a blessing in disguise in that it will provide a partial solution, but it will also highly likely slow the growth rate of the economy and thereby the rate of job generation.The issue about the effect of HIV-AIDS is two fold as it erodes both the employed and the unemployed. In the long run, there might end up there being very few numbers seeking for employment. The high levels of people who are association the job market make this a good pessimism.The massive land reform initiated by so-called war vets and the government produces more losers than winners. More than one-half a mi llion farm workers have already lost their jobs and source of income, without gaining any of the redistributed land. Those displaced from the farms have found themselves on the job market. This then means that instead of solving a problem, the government has created more problems for itself. The problem with that is that this produces a chain of other problems interrelated to the farming business.On another note, if the land resettlement programme was well managed, this could bring a partial solution to the problem. This could temporarily create self-sustaining jobs for the rural community. The only problem is that the government in doctrine banned all commercial agriculture and villagised the whole country into small villages. This can never be a lasting solution to the unemployment problems as agricultures share of total employment falls as economies develop. Thus in the long run, this ceases to be a solution.Many hopes are on the inner sector which people say could expand given enough resources and incentives. Unfortunately, unemployment has risen far beyond the capacity of formal sector establishment while employment in the informal sector has grown phenomenally. Others, however, argue that expansion of the informal sector would generate new and equally serious economic problems destroying the viability of formal sector operations, worsening crime levels, and devastating the environment, negatively affect national health programmes and affect state revenue inflows.Those in the informal sector remain an economic burden for the country because their incomes cannot meet basic needs and that most, if not all, operators subsist below the poverty datum line.It is a pre-requisite for employment creation in Zimbabwe to be enhanced by mobilisation of resources in capital markets through an unprecedented improvement of savings as a percentage of the Gross Domestic product (GDP)to around 25 percent so that funds would be invested and hence forth job creation. But to achieve this, the country should offer competitive investment incentives such as consistently low inflation and interest rates, stable foreign exchange rates, minimum state controls, low taxation and a politically stable environment. Improvement of conditions of services in the sector could be sustainable because of low wages, and there is need to realise that the economy could be stimulated through the rural sector, small scale and medium enterprises or large corporations.ConclusionAll the stake holders, citizens and the government must all be actively tortuous the reduction of unemployment. Without this combined effort and commitment, unemployment is likely to continue rising since the economic conditions are worsening and it is becoming more difficult for the companies that had survived before to continue surviving. If things are left unattended to as they at the moment, unemployment will grow to be a self created time-bomb for the government and will eventually build enough stuff in it to force it to explode.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.